Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.173031 0.198590 0.227697 0.263523 0.306746 0.357602 0.422554
2025-05-18 0.133227 0.165963 0.207405 0.264692 0.343405 0.450190 0.610405
2025-05-25 0.109641 0.144801 0.192879 0.265460 0.376036 0.544986 0.837432
2025-06-01 0.093353 0.128862 0.180380 0.263781 0.402103 0.636135 1.097216
2025-06-08 0.081003 0.115785 0.168696 0.259402 0.421029 0.720046 1.383636
2025-06-15 0.073947 0.109187 0.165235 0.266763 0.460958 0.854578 1.847079
2025-06-22 0.066068 0.100003 0.155866 0.261544 0.475566 0.943625 2.262744
2025-06-29 0.060880 0.094399 0.151467 0.264195 0.506178 1.079277 2.904081
2025-07-06 0.055695 0.088097 0.144833 0.261080 0.523473 1.190472 3.569222
2025-07-13 0.052366 0.084562 0.142618 0.266278 0.561011 1.371613 4.671379
2025-07-20 0.049576 0.081631 0.141064 0.272478 0.602876 1.586921 6.199044
2025-07-27 0.046956 0.078699 0.139072 0.277279 0.642792 1.819366 8.195112
2025-08-03 0.044732 0.076327 0.138000 0.284336 0.692517 2.121997 11.276319
2025-08-10 0.042323 0.073362 0.135354 0.287241 0.731999 2.418038 15.180649
2025-08-17 0.040025 0.070377 0.132284 0.288538 0.767524 2.728466 20.373856
2025-08-24 0.037721 0.067159 0.128316 0.286795 0.793050 3.018515 26.768514
2025-08-31 0.035421 0.063740 0.123509 0.281963 0.806831 3.267024 34.187076
2025-09-07 0.034240 0.062505 0.123451 0.290151 0.870888 3.854835 52.131302
2025-09-14 0.032247 0.059402 0.118751 0.284353 0.880454 4.136994 67.362542
2025-09-21 0.030963 0.057695 0.117136 0.287301 0.926509 4.717182 100.569013
2025-09-28 0.029410 0.055285 0.113586 0.283839 0.945185 5.136025 138.915029
2025-10-05 0.028485 0.054166 0.113051 0.289616 1.007231 5.993576 233.802066
2025-10-12 0.027674 0.053230 0.112862 0.296509 1.078455 7.071845 430.724078